Jordan Love: 2026 Fantasy Football Outlook
Jordan Love averaged 15.7 half-PPR points per game in 2025 — about what a QB17 draft slot was worth, so the July 2026 price read roughly in line with the production. His snap share fell -15.6pp across the 2025 season.
Our read, framed from the cited 2025 data below — opinion, not a projection.
The numbers behind the read
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| ADP (July 2026) | 129.1 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 132 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Fantasy points / game | 15.7 | nflverse |
| Points over expected (FPOE) | +3.9 | nflverse |
| Snap share trend, last 3 vs season (2025) | -15.6pp | nflverse |
| Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 50 | Sleeper |
The consensus read
Jordan Love was drafted as the QB17 — ADP 129.1 — in July 2026. His 15.7 half-PPR points per game in 2025 clears the QB starter line.
- adp 129.1
- adp_rank 132
- search_rank 50
- ppg 15.7
The edge case — what had to be true
Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read. Check them against what has actually happened since.
Strong pick if you believed…
-
Jordan Love's scoring over expected (xFP) is skill, not variance
Checkpoint
fpoe (actual minus xFP per game), season (2025)
+3.9 pts/gm vs expectation (2025) · as of July 2026
-
Jordan Love's snap dip was game-script, not a demotion
Checkpoint
snap_pct_trend, season (2025)
-15.6pp (2025) · as of July 2026
Poor pick if instead…
-
Jordan Love's scoring over expected regresses to the xFP baseline
Checkpoint
fpoe (actual minus xFP per game), season (2025)
+3.9 pts/gm vs expectation (2025) · as of July 2026
-
Jordan Love's snap share is shrinking
Checkpoint
snap_pct_trend, season (2025)
-15.6pp (2025) · as of July 2026
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure on this page is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data — nothing is hand-entered. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.
Ask Chalk & Sharp about Jordan Love for this week's lineup.
This page is the July 2026 draft-day read. The AI assistant weighs Jordan Love against your scoring, your roster, and this week's matchup instead.
See a Chalk & Sharp read